Thursday, September 18, 2008

A Crisis of Confidence

Is a Liquidity Crisis
  • Perception of higher inter-bank lending risk
  • Banks are unwilling to lend to each other
  • leading to a ripple effect across the financial markets
Ironically
  • Inflation is not the main issue here
  • Strong fundamentals leading to high economic growth
Requires Intervention
  • From the Central banks to restore confidence in the markets
Essentially
  • a financial market crisis
  • however if there is no intervention from the central banks this will spill off to the economy leading to a systemic risk.
Affecting
  • Investment Banks
  • No assets
Not Directly Affecting
  • Commercial Banks
  • Has a huge deposits base
Not Affected
  • Manufacturing / Brick and Mortar
  • Fixed asset base
Historical Perspective
  • Sub-prime loans
  • Affect Alt A loans in the short term
  • Affect Higher Loans in the mid term

- a synopsis of a NDTV program telecast on 19th September - "Financial Tsunami - The Ripple Effect'

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